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Why is IMD always wrong?
WHY DID IMD GO WRONG? The weather forecasts at times go wrong due to the unpredictability of changes in ocean currents that are responsible for affecting global weather systems. For India, the Bay of Bengal acts as the buffer that affects the weather across the country.
How Indian Meteorological Department prepares its forecast?
The Meteorological Department prepares a weather report in which all the weather information is plotted on the maps. Using these maps, weather forecasters predict the weather reasonably accurately which is then transmitted on the radio and television.
What is the role of Indian Meteorological Department at the time of cyclone?
It is regional nodal agency for forecasting, naming and disseminating warnings about tropical cyclone in the Indian Ocean north of the Equator.
Why do weather predictions go wrong at times?
Meteorologists use computer programs called weather models to make forecasts. Since we can’t collect data from the future, models have to use estimates and assumptions to predict future weather. The atmosphere is changing all the time, so those estimates are less reliable the further you get into the future.
Why is it difficult to predict the weather of a place while it is easy to predict its climate?
Weather is a complex phenomenon which can vary over a short period of time and thus is difficult to predict. It is easier to predict climate as it is the average weather pattern taken over a long time. Thus, it is complicated to predict weather of any particular place.
What is the role of the meteorological department in disaster?
National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) all over the world have an essential role to play in bringing about disaster reduction through delivery of quality public weather services, including the provision of weather forecasts, early warnings on hazardous weather, outreach activities to enhance public …
What is the importance of IMD?
IMD has continuously ventured into new areas of application and service, and steadily built upon its infra-structure in its history of 140 years. It has simultaneously nurtured the growth of meteorology and atmospheric science in India. Today, meteorology in India is poised at the threshold of an exciting future.
How does IMD predict rain?
IMD issues operational long range forecast for the rainfall during SW Monsoon Season (June- September). These forecasts are issued in two stages. For this purpose, IMD uses the seasonal forecasting model (SFM) developed at the Experimental Climate Prediction Center (ECPC), Scripps Institute of Oceanography, USA.
Are weather predictions wrong?
In general, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says a seven-day forecast accurately predicts the weather about 80 percent of the time. About 90 percent of the time. But a 10-day or longer forecast is only right roughly half the time.